Baird Investment Banking Pitch Book
EARN-OUT ACCELERATION PRICING RECOMMENDATION
14%
■ Analyzing the earn-out acceleration payment in the context of AM and AR's cost of capital continuum:
From AM's perspective, it should be compelled to accelerate the earn-out at or above its overall weighted average cost
of capital, and perhaps even lower based on the risk profile of the earn-out
From AR's perspective, a discount beyond it's cost of equity is unattractive - AR could raise capital more cost effectively
COST OF CAPITAL ANALYSIS (¹)
PV OF EARN-OUT PAYMENT (SMM) (2)
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
Cost of Debt
11.0%
9.0%
Cost of Equity
▬ ▬ KANE DE A MAI
4.4%
Antero
Source: Management Base Case projections as March 23, 2017.
(1) Based on AR and AM cost of capital analyses.
(2) Assumes a present value date of May 1, 2018
9.0%
8.0%
4.0%
WACC
Antero
Midstreamtare un
Higher Risk
Implied
Reasonable
Discount
Boundaries
Lower Risk
Implied
2-yr Treasury: 2.3%
I
L
I
Discount
Rate
11.0%
10.0%
Confidential
9.0%
8.0%
7.0%
6.0%
5.0%
4.0%
Implied
Payment
$200
$203
$208
$212
$216
$220
$225
$230
BAIRD
Project Bronco
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