Investor Presentaiton
ACTIVITY IMPACTS OF COVID-19
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•
COVID-19 has caused significant disruptions to economic activity
and weighed on household and business confidence. The weakness
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in activity has been broad-based across the private sector - with an
outsized impact on services consumption
While Australia has passed the trough in activity and will likely see
growth in the September quarter, areas of stress remain
Policy support via wage subsidies have been a key support to
household income. With spending having been curtailed, the savings
rate has increased sharply
While unemployment has not risen as sharply as initially feared,
broader measures of underutilisation hours and hours worked show
a more significant deterioration
Fiscal policy will need to play a key role in the low rates environment
HOUSEHOLD INCOMES HAVE BEEN SUPPORTED BY POLICY²
(%)
15
10
5
0
-5
Non-labour income
Income tax
Total
-10
2006
2009
2012
CONSUMPTION DRIVEN FALL IN OUTPUT¹
(Ppt)
(Ppt)
-2
420246%
-4
-6
-8
GDP
Consumption
Dwelling Investment
Non-mining Investment
Mining Investment
Public Demand
Exports
Imports
420246%
-2
-4
-6
-8
SUPPORT FOR HOUSEHOLDS HAS SEEN SAVINGS INCREASE³
(%)
15
25
Net Saving Ratio
Gross Saving Ratio
10
20
15
5
10
0
5
-5
Labour income
0
Other income payable
-10
-5
2015
2018
1990
1994
1998
2002
2006
2010
2014
2018
Source: ABS, NAB. Data shows year-ended contributions to June quarter 2020
(2) Source: ABS, NAB. Year-ended growth. Data to June quarter 2020
(3)
Source: ABS, NAB. Data to June quarter 2020
106
National
Australia
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