Currency and Interest Rate Outlook
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KASIKORNTHAI
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开泰银行 KASIKORNBANK
Projections on Budget Disbursement of Public Transport Infrastructure Investment
As the COVID-19 situation intensifies and is still highly uncertain, budget disbursements in 2021 are revised down and deferred to 2022-2024 on
the view that the situation would not be worsen in coming years.
Budget disbursements in 2022-2024 will be driven by mega-projects in EEC such as High-Speed Rail Linking 3 Airports, Map Ta Phut phase 3.
Investment Disbursement Schedule (FY2016-2030)*
Notes:
Billion Baht
400
350
352.0
324.4
322.4
309.9
300
250
200
250.5
222.9
175.1 I
156.8
250.5
148.3
145.7
150
100
65.1
50
36.8
24.5
19.1
0
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
Thai government's fiscal year (FY) begins on 1 October and ends on 30 September of the following year
- Due to 1 month lockdown period start from 28 June 2021 - 28 July 2021 investment are expected to be deferred to 2022-2023.
- Projects that were delayed or terminated by Cabinet are not included
- The budget of Bt1.91trn referring "Thailand strategic development of transport infrastructure 2015 to 2022 master plan" are excluded High-speed rails (Bt637.3bn) and
Suvarnabhumi airport (Bt104.4bn), but our estimation include both of these projects
Source: Office of Transport and Traffic Policy and Planning (Thailand strategic development of transport infrastructure 2015 to 2022)
Note: *KResearch projected as of July 2021
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On-going highlight projects under construction in 2021*
Projects under construction
Lop Buri - Pak Nam Pho
Bang Yai- Kanchanaburi
Motorway
Jira Junction - Khon Kaen
Mabkabao Jira Junction
Bang-Pa-In-Nakhon Ratchasima
Motorway
Bangkok-Nakhon
Ratchasima
Bang Suê – Rangsit
Lad Prao Samrong
Nakhon Pathom-Hua Hin
Suvarnabhumi Airport (Phase II)
Thailand Cultural Center-
Min Buri
Hua Hin - Prachuap Khiri Khan
Prachuap Khiri Khan...
Chumphon
Khae Rai Min Buri
Dual-Track Train
Mass-Transit System and Commuter Train
High Speed Train
Airport
Motorway
Single Rail Transfer Operator
Intermodal Facility
Projects under construction
Expected
completion
year
Note
Air Transport:
Suvarnabhumi Airport Phase
2021
2
90% in progress
Expected
completion
year
Note
Motorways:
Bang Pa In-Nakhon Ratchasima
2021
95% in progress
(M6)
Bang Yai-Kanchanaburi (M81)
2023
Projects under construction
Expected
completion
year
50% in progress
Note
High Speed Rails:
Thailand-Chinese (Bangkok-Nakhon
Ratchasima)
2027
Projects under construction
Expected
completion year
Contract lots 3-2 to 4-7**,
worth Bt40,275mn are under
construction.. New contract.
lots worth Bt27,527mn are
signed (4-3, 4-4 and 4-6)
which expected to start
construction in late 2021
Note
Mass-Transit System and
Commuter Rail Lines:
Yellow line (Lad Prao-Sam Rong)
Orange line (Thailand cultural
center-Min Buri)
2021
65% in progress
2023
76% in progress
Pink line (Khae Rai-Min Buri)
2021
70% in progress
Projects under construction
Expected
Note
completion
year
Dual-Track Railways:
Nakhon Pathom-Hua Hin
2021
70% in progress
Hua Hin-Prachuap Khiri Khan
2021
50% in progress
Lop Buri-Pak Nam Pho
2021
55% in progress
MabKabao-Jira Junction
Prachuap Khiri Khan-Choom
Porn
2021
75% in progress
2021
60% in progress
Source Ministry of Transport and KResearch (July 2021)
Notes: Projects that visibly have construction progress on-site or have been stated in official documents that it had been constructed
*There are currently 30 projects under construction. For the purpose of visualization, only highlight projects are shown in this presentation
**Contract lots are 3-2, 3-3, 3-4, 3-5, 4-7 which have construction disbursement of Bt40,275mn and 1080 construction days
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