Renewable Diesel Feedstock Perspective
MRL
CANOLA FEEDSTOCK - IN BASE
Overview
Significance to MRL
Canola as Feedstock
~100 mbpd Canola oil available, mostly from Canada (75% exported
today)
Canola is a ubiquitous oil seed grown ~90%+ in the Canadian
provinces of Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba and -10% in
northern US states including North Dakota, Montana, Washington
and Minnesota
Canadian Canola: 20 million acres currently dedicated
US Canola: 2010 = 1.4 million acres, 2020 1.8 million acres,
2022 2.1 million acres anticipated
Canada is heavily investing to increase both Canola output and
"crush" capabilities, adding incremental +40 mbpd of renewable diesel
feedstock. The largest of multiple announced new crushers is directly
connected to BNSF
Latest Regulatory Update
•
EPA's proposed rulemaking announced; enjoys bipartisan support
and expected to come in Summer 2022
Canola is already approved for LCFS program in British Columbia
(currently active) and broader Canadian program (beginning Summer
2023)
Source: EPA, Canola Council of Canada.
CI Score Impact
•
Canola oil has a lower CI score than soybean oil
Very long availability all around
MRL
Cl advantage adds ~$20 million to MRL EBITDA run-rate in 2023 and
~$35 million after de-bottlenecking in 2024
Supply Impact
.
MRL is uniquely positioned to benefit from rapid adoption of Canola
given strategic position with immediate proximity to sources in Canada
and nearby states and BNSF's Hi-Line
Other Renewable Diesel producers (Gulf Coast and West Coast)
would have to buy Canola that travels past MRL en route to their
facilities
Canola as a "baseload" feedstock would reduce impact of price and
supply swings in other feedstocks and reduce reliance on soybean oil
(highest Cl score) within broader feedstock mix
One MRL offtaker has specifically requested that the renewable
diesel they move to Canada be Canola-derived
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