Investor Presentaiton
4
Supply Drivers: B.C. Interior Fibre Supply Reduction
Will Lead to Reduced Lumber Production
WFP
B.C. Interior Allowable Annual Cut ("AAC")
70
AAC (million m3)
40
40
50
50
60
60
62.2 64.1
68.0
65.7
67.0 66.9 66.4
61.5 60.8 61.3 60.7 62.1
55.4
56.5
B.C. Interior Lumber Production
Billion Board Feet
6
12
18
30
2003A 2004A 2005A 2006A 2007A 2008A 2009A 2010A 2011A 2012A 2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E
50.3 50.3 49.9 49.5 49.0 48.1 46.9 46.8
14.9 15.1
14.3
13.9
12.8
10.6
10.0 10.4
10.9
11.2
11.0
11.7
11.4
11.5 11.1
8.6
8.8
9.0
9.0
8.7 9.0 9.1
2003A 2004A 2005A 2006A 2007A 2008A 2009A 2010A 2011A 2012A 2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020E 2021E 2022 E 2023E 2024E
Source: Forest Economic Advisors (May 2020)
Mountain Pine Beetle epidemic and lower AAC in the B.C. Interior
are expected to significantly reduce lumber production
33
33View entire presentation