Investor Presentaiton
Operating Environment in Germany and the Netherlands
Key economic indicators and market overview
Key Economic Indicators in Germany(1)
Sequential GDP
-1.8% for the Mar 21 quarter
+0.5% for the preceding quarter
Consumer Price Index
2.0% for the 12 months to Apr 21
From 1.7% in Mar 21
Unemployment Rate
4.6% for the month of Apr 21
Unchanged from 4.6% in Mar 21
Overview of the German Industrial Market(3)
EURIBOR
-0.543% 3-month EURIBOR
Remained in the negative range(2)
• Take-up in Germany increased 19% year-on-year in Q1 2021 as the market continues to recover
from the effects of COVID-19. Demand is largely driven by the e-commerce market which saw
several large transactions transacted.
• Prime rents have remained high in major logistics hubs as a result of limited supply and
transactions signed for speculative developments of logistics parks.
• Investment volumes recorded €2 billion in Q1 2021 across the major logistics hubs, a decrease
of 12% year-on-year.
• Prime yields however have remained at a record low of 3.35% from the last quarter after falling
from 3.50% in Q3 2020.
Take-up and Prime Rents in Germany (for warehouses >5,000 sqm)
Key Economic Indicators in the Netherlands(4)
Sequential GDP
-0.5% for the Mar 21 quarter
From -0.1% in the preceding quarter
Consumer Price Index
2.1% for the 12 months to May 21
From 1.9% for the 12 months to Apr 21
Overview of the Dutch Industrial Market(3)
.
FRASERS
LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL
TRUST
Unemployment Rate
3.4% for the month of Apr 21
From 3.5% in Mar 21
Take-up levels increased 8.7% year-on-year in Q1 2021. Activity was boosted by demand from
retail and distribution sectors, which accounted for more than half of total take-up.
• Prime rents have stabilized, but strong demand and low availability are continually putting an
upward pressure on rents.
Investment volumes have dropped in Q1 2021, partly reflecting changes in the tax regime
(RETT increased from 6% to 8%). However, demand is still strong, reflecting a shift from other
sectors to the logistics sector.
• Prime yields have compressed throughout the market to 3.4% in Q1 and are further expected
to decrease by the end of the year.
Take-up and Prime Rents in the Netherlands (for warehouses >5,000 sqm)
'000 sqm
Q1
Q2-Q4
Prime Rents
€/sqm/yr
'000 sqm
4,000
Q1
Q2-Q4
Prime Rents
€/sqm/yr
8,000
85.0
86.4
80
80
6,000
2,000
4,000
60
60
60
2,000
1,280
1,280
0
2016
2017
1,540
2018
1,200
2019
1,484
2020
1,765
0
330
40
2016
690
2017
550
2018
780
2019
690
2020
750
40
2021
2021
1. Source: Destatisches Bundesamt (Federal Statistics Office of Germany). 2. Source: https://www.euribor-rates.eu/en/current-euribor-rates/ (As at 9 June 2021). Applicable for both Germany and the Netherlands. 3. Source: BNP
Paribas Real Estate Q1 2021. 4. Source: CBS (Statistics Netherlands).
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