Investor Presentaiton
First Quarter Update1
MOODY'S
INVESTOR
DAY 2022
» Year-to-date issuance² significantly behind assumptions
underlying our full-year outlook as of February 10, 2022
-
-
Limited opportunistic issuance given market volatility
Investment grade issuance averaged -$2.5B per day,
down from ~$4.5B in 2021
Over 15 days of no high yield issuance³
>> First time mandates strong and consistent with prior year
>> Projecting first quarter rated issuance 2.4 and MIS revenue to
contract by up to 40% and up to 30%, respectively, versus 1Q 2021
>> 1Q 2022 adjusted diluted EPS4,5 in the range of $2.50 to $3.00
Geopolitical
Tensions
» Increased disruption
from Ukraine
conflict
» Evolving global
sanctions
>> Russian oil and gas
export bans; higher
energy prices
Macroeconomic
Conditions
» Heightened
financial market
volatility and wider
spreads
Persistent inflation
Global central
bank rate
increases
1. As compared to guidance provided in the press release titled "Moody's Corporation Reports Results for Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2021; Sets Full Year 2022 and Medium-Term Outlooks" from February 10, 2022.
2. MIS rated issuance through March 8, 2022, includes CFG, SFG, FIG and PPIF, and excludes sovereign debt issuance.
3. As of March 8, 2022.
4. Moody's outlook for first quarter 2022 reflects assumptions about numerous factors that could affect its business and is based on currently available information reviewed by management through and as of today's date. These assumptions, which are
subject to increased uncertainty as a result of the crisis in Ukraine, include, but are not limited to, the effects of interest rates, inflation, foreign currency exchange rates, capital markets' liquidity and activity in different sectors of the debt markets, the
scale and duration of the crisis in Ukraine including the imposition of economic sanctions, as well as the impact of COVID-19, including the responses to the pandemic by governments, regulators, businesses and individuals. This outlook also reflects
assumptions about general economic conditions and GDP growth in the U.S. and Euro area, as well as the Company's own operations and personnel.
5. Adjusted diluted EPS is a non-GAAP measure. Refer to Slide 15 in the Appendix for a reconciliation of adjusted diluted EPS to U.S. GAAP.
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Investor Day 2022
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