Investor Presentaiton
Scenarios with MTRH-SHS assess what aging water services could
benefit of setting premiums as proxies of WTA.
0.6%
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
Premium/GDP [%]
0.1%
0.0%
30
20
10
0
0.5
Water Yield [I's.km²]
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
Loss Ratio [S/S]
0.80
0.90
MHD
0.75
1
Seasonality
1.25
Seasonality = (mean Wet - mean Dry)/meanAnnual
SWAT
JAG3-972 JAG2-508 JAG1-277 CAC1-294
Optimized premiums and loss ratios under hydrologic scenarios driven by climate projections,
under current (100%) water demand. Circles area are proportional do sub-basins' areas.
c)
a)
1.75
0.16%
1.40
0.12%
1.05
Scenario Final Premium
Million USD
Loss Ratio
Solvency Coeff.
0.70
0.35
0.00
2
0.08%
0.04%
0.00%
% of GDP
SolvencyCoef = (OptPr - AvgLosses)/AvgLosses
0.6
0.4
0.2
188420
00
80
Sim
LossRatio=Average Losses/Premium
90 95 100 105 110 120
Water Demand Scenario (%)
1976-2005 2007-2040
2041-2070 2071-2099
Fig. 6. a) Optimized premiums, b) solvency coefficient, and c) loss ratio for JAG3-972
outlet from SWAT (solid lines) and MHD (dashed lines) outputs.
Source: Mohor & Mendiondo (2017), under courtesy permission of Wiley O
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