UAE Economic and FY 2012 Financial Results Update
Dubai Economic Update
Emirates NBD
Highlights
2013 GDP growth for Dubai is estimated at 3.9% as the real
estate sector continues to recover and construction is no longer
a drag on growth vs. 3% in 2012 which was driven mainly by
manufacturing, which accounts for about 13% of Dubai's GDP;
non-oil foreign trade and services sectors showed strong growth
during 2012
• Manufacturing, tourism and hospitality are likely to benefit
from strong regional demand
Non-oil trade with other GCC countries, particularly Saudi Arabia
and Qatar, likely to offset any weakness in trade with Europe
and the US
Dubai: Real GDP growth
Y-o-y growth %
5.0%
3.9%
4.0%
3.4%
3.2%
2.8%
3.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
-1.0%
-2.0%
-3.0%
2008
-2.4%
2009
2010
2011
2012e
2013f
Source: Emirates NBD Research, Dubai Statistics Centre
Dubai GDP - Composition by Sector, and Sector Growth
Dubai GDP by Sector-2011
(AED 100 bn)
Fin
Hotels
4%
Servcs.
10%
Trans.
&
comm.
20.0
10.0
0.0
Trade
29%
-10.0
N
2011
2012e
13%
Manuf.
13%
-20.0
RE
20%
Other
11%
Real Estate and Business services
Non profit organisations
2013f
Agriculture, Livestock and Fishery
■Construction
■Mining and Quarrying
Wholesale, retail, maintenance
■Social and personal services
Domestic Services (households)
Manufacturing
■Restaurants and hotels
■Financial Services
imputed bank services
Utilities (Electricity and water)
■Transport, Storage, Communication
Government services
GDP
Source: Dubai Statistics Centre, Haver Analytics
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