Investor Presentaiton
2
Independent Review of
RBD Is Bangladesh Rolling Towards A Debt Stress?
Bangladesh's Development
Scenario One: Simulation Using Debt-Stabilising Primary Balance Approach
FY2017
Shocks
(Compared to
Baseline Scenario 2
i.e. 5.5%)
FY2020
1.2
1
Annual 1% rise in¹
real interest rate
0
Debt-Stabilising
Primary Balance (Per
Primary Balance Gap
(Per cent of GDP)
-1
-2
-3
-4
-5
cent of GDP)
-6
-5.86
-7
-1.6
-1
Debt-Stabilising
Primary Balance (Per
cent of GDP)
Primary Balance Gap
(Per cent of GDP)
-2
-3
-3.06
-4
-5
-4.56
-6
-6.06
-7
-3.56
-2.06
Baseline Scenario
Annual 1 per cent increase in real interest rate
CPD (2017): State of the Bangladesh Economy in FY2017 (First Reading)
Baseline Scenario
Annual 1 per cent rise in real interest rate
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