Investor Presentaiton
Bank of Ireland Group
Support for housing market
%
30-
House prices increasing, faster outside of Dublin than in the capital
Completions up 17.9% in 2016 to 14,932, but remain below
estimated demand of c.30,000 per annum
Residential transactions slightly lower in 2016 vs 2015
Mortgage lending in 2016 up 5.2% (c.29,500 loans) and 12.3%
(c.€5.7bn) y-o-y in volume and value terms
New Government 'Help to Buy' scheme and loosening of Central
Bank's LTV rules for first time buyers will support demand
Property Prices and Rents
Public finances improving
Budget 2017 package injects €1.3bn into economy
▶ Solid tax revenue growth and spending control means deficit
target of 0.9% of GDP in 2016 to be met
▶ Debt to GDP ratio estimated at 76% of GDP at end 2016,
Government has pledged to reduce to 45% of GDP by mid
2020s
▶ Ireland is fully engaged in debt markets, sovereign yields at
low levels. The NTMA has already raised c. 50% of its funding
target for 2017
%
0
General Government Deficit
20
10-
0
-10-
-20-
-30-
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
-0.5-
-1-
2015
2016 2017
-1.5.
Rents
National National Ex Dublin Dublin
Graph shows year-on-year change in residential prices and private rents
Commercial
Source: CSO
Capital Growth
Rental Growth
8.00%
7.40%
Graph shows year-on-year change Q4 2016
Source: IPD
2016e
2017(f)
Ireland Euro Area
Graph shows General Government deficit as a % of GDP
Source: Department of Finance, EU Commission
2018(f)
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