Investor Presentaiton
Mexican Economy
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SOLID MIX OF SECTORS 1
GDP 2022: 3.0%
GDP 2023F: 3.2%
GDP 2024F: 1.6%
Services and consumption are increasingly contributing to the
domestic economy's recovery
The labour market and remittances are resilient, supporting
strong consumption
Economic activity has beaten consensus so far this year, which has
led to continuous upward revisions of GDP forecasts
Although trade has moderated, better than expected U.S. activity
has helped exports
Nearshoring optimism provides opportunities to specific exports-
oriented sectors and regions. Some incipient positive signs in
investment are showing up in Q2
CONTRIBUTIONS TO MEXICAN GDP GROWTH 3,4
MEXICAN Q1/23 GDP BY INDUSTRY 2,3
16.4%
6.0%
Health & Education
Finance, Insurance,
& Real Estate
18.7%
14.7%
Other
3.3%
Natural
Resources
6.8%
Transportation
& Warehousing
2.1%
Professional,
Scientific,
& Technical
Services
18.76T,
MXN2013
SAAR
3.7%
Public
Administration
Wholesale &
Retail Trade
16.4%
Manufacturing
5.9%
Mining and Oil
& Gas Extraction
5.9%
Construction
TOP TRADING PARTNERS 5
Other*
Inventories
Government
Real GDP
Net Exports
Investment
Consumption
25
y/y % change
20
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
-15
-20
18
19
20
21
22
Others
22%
Germany.
2%
South Korea
3%
Canada
4%
China
11%
United
States
58%
1 Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Bloomberg, as of August 11, 2023; 2 Q2-2023 real GDP growth 3.7% y/y. Industry GDP breakdown is not yet available for Q2-2023; 3 Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Haver
Analytics; 4Q2-2023 real GDP growth 3.7% y/y. National accounts breakdown not yet available for Q2-2023; 5 Trade data updated as of Q4-2022
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