Investor Presentaiton
Bauxite & Alumina sensitivities
Annual sensitivities on adjusted EBITDA if +10% in price
NOK million
1 900
•
Revenue impact
Realized alumina price lags PAX by one month
Cost impact
Bauxite
•
~2.45 tonnes bauxite per tonne alumina
Pricing partly LME-linked
Caustic soda
(10)
(70)
(60)
•
~0.1 tonnes per tonne alumina
(220)
(270)
.
Aluminium
Realized
PAX
Fuel oil
Caustic
soda
Coal
Gas
Currency sensitivities +10%
NOK million
AEBITDA
USD
BRL
EUR
1,150
(750)
Hydro
Prices based on IHS Chemical, pricing mainly monthly per shipment
Energy
•
•
~0.12 tonnes coal per tonne alumina, Platts prices, one year volume contracts, weekly per
shipment pricing
~0.11 tonnes heavy fuel oil per tonne alumina, prices set by ANP/Petrobras in Brazil, weekly
pricing (ANP) or anytime (Petrobras)
Annual adjusted sensitivities based on normal annual business volumes. LME 2,120 USD/mt, standard ingot premium (Europe duty paid) 190 USD/mt, PAX 355 USD/mt, fuel oil 820 USD/mt, petroleum coke 440 USD/mt, pitch 965 EUR/mt,
caustic soda 360 USD/mt, coal 105 USD/mt, gas (Henry Hub) 2.74 USD/MMBtu, USDNOK 10.91, BRLNOK 2.19, EURNOK 11.66
BRL sensitivity calculated on a long-term basis with fuel oil assumed in USD. In the short-term, fuel oil is BRL-denominated. 2023 Platts alumina index (PAX) exposure used
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