Investor Presentaiton
CREDIT RATING AGENCIES MAINTAINED INDONESIA'S CREDIT RATING AMIDST
MASSIVE DOWNGRADES DUE TO THE IMPACT OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC
Affirmation of Indonesia's rating by S&P and R&I confirms that the recovery is on track:
Handling COVID-19 & Vaccination, Macro Fiscal Stable, Structural Reform - Job Creation Law
S&P Global
Ratings
Affirms BBB negative
22 April 2021
The country's economy is stabilizing, and gradual fiscal consolidation and improved trade
flows are likely over the next three to four years
R&I
Affirms BBB+ stable
22 April 2021
Indonesia's economy will likely return to a pre-coronavirus growth level in one to two years.
The government's structural reform efforts are also expected to boost growth potential in the
medium to long term.
Fitch Ratings
Affirms BBB stable
Rating Action during the 2020 Pandemic
Rating
124 Downgrades 133
124
51 by Fitch
35 by Moody's
38 by S&P
NAGARA DARA RANCA
Revised Outlook
Negative
51 by Fitch
36 by Moody's
46 by S&P
Covid-19 Pandemic has brought a significant pressure on
sovereign rating → the pandemic had a major impact, especially
on countries' fiscal conditions
The rating action in 2020 is more than during the 2008 GFC crisis
In 2021, the three rating agencies have taken 34 Rating Action
Downgrades and 21 Revised Negative Outlook (as of Oct 21,
2021)
Indonesia's Rating Position
22 March 2021
Indonesia's rating balances a favorable medium-term growth outlook and a low debt to GDP
ratio against dependence on external financing and lagging structural features compared with
'BBB' peers, such as GDP per capita
MOODY'S
Baa2 stable
Annual Credit Analysis, 16 February 2021
The credit profile of Indonesia is supported by its large economy, low fiscal deficits and modest
debt burden, that counterbalance reliance on external funding and a degree of economic
concentration to commodity cycles.
Sovereign Credit
Rating Agency
Outlook
Rating
Date of Rating
Action
Moody's
Baa2
Stable
14 Feb 2020
JCR Agency
BBB+
Stable
1 Dec 2020
Fitch
BBB
Stable
22 March 2021
S&P
BBB
R&I
BBB+
Negative
Stable
22 April 2021
22 April 2021
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