Investor Presentaiton
New Zealand Economy
NZD/USD, NZD/AUD and TWI
Key economic statistics
FY16
FY17f
FY18f
1.00
GDP annual average growth
3.0%
3.4%
3.1%
0.90
Inflation rate
0.4%
1.6%
1.8%
0.80
0.70
Official cash rate (OCR)
1.75%
1.75%
1.75%
0.60
Unemployment rate
4.9%
4.2%
4.1%
0.50
0.40
Dairy payout (ex dividend) 1,2
$5.90
$6.10
2005
90
Mort
85
80
- NZD/USD
Forecast 55
- NZD/AUD
-TWI (right axis)
bཪྻབྱསྒ99|
75
70
65
60
50
45
40
2008
2011
2014
2017
GDP growth (%)
Source: RBNZ, Westpac Economics
New Zealand unemployment rate (%)
8
8
%
Qtr % chg
Annual average % change
Westpac
Forecast
6
6
27
110
12
11
4
4
%
12
Westpac
Forecast 11
10
9
9
8
2
2
וויי
7
0
0
6
LO
5
-2
-2
4
-4
-4
8 16
7
543
3
2000 2002 2004 2006
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
1990 1993 1996 1999
2002 2005 2008
2011
2014 2017
Source: Statistics NZ, Westpac Economics
1 Westpac NZ Economics forecast (ex dividend), Fonterra forecast is $6.00/kg
2 Seasons ended May.
Source: Statistics NZ, Westpac Economics
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