Investor Presentaiton
III Key Investment Highlights
2 Attractive Industry Dynamics
A highly defensive sector with significant room for continued growth
Health Expenditure CAGR 2013-2017
Pharmaceutical Sales | EGP bn
IN
Total Number of Pharmacies | '000
Egypt's healthcare market is the fastest growing in the region driven
by significant growth in the pharmaceuticals market
Given the under-penetration of healthcare insurance, pharma sales are
mainly driven by out-of-pocket expenditure as consumers find self-
medication to be the cheapest form of treatment
60
60
56
57
56
56
12%
CAGR 17%
50
10%
9%
41
8%
2012
2013
2014
8%
32
28
5%
5%
25
2015
Total Pharmacists | 2016 '000
2016
2017e
5%
22
19
212
3%
23
10
3
12
7
1
Pharma Market Share
Public Sector 3%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Market Segmentation I Market Share 1H2017
SHAIN
Growth Drivers
Novartis 8%
ISP 19%
Higher Priced Drug Replacements
GSK 6%
Sanofi 5%
Pharco 5%
2017
H1
Others
56%
Manu.
Amoun 5%
Others
32%
Dist.1
Other Retail
Ezaby 4%
Seif 2%
Roushdy 2%
Misr 1%
Pricing Adjustment Waves
Increasing Generic Uptake
UCP 33% 92%
Increase of Chronic Diseases
Eipico 4%
Eva 4%
Pfizer 3%
Hikma 2%
Global Napi 2%
POS 16%
Multinational
48%
Private Sector
49%
The distribution space is the most consolidated segment, with the 3 largest players processing 68% of the market sales
Industry Regulated Margins
Ageing & Growing Population
New Products - New Markets
Low Price Regime
Market Price Evolution
Regulated Price
25
20%
8%
Distributors operate on a fixed
margin set out by the Ministry
of Health (MOH), and is marked
down from the regulated price
of the SKU
18
37%
15
13
14
9%
10%
20%
6%
Which significantly mitigates
any risks related to bargaining
power of suppliers/clients
2013
2014
Average price per unit
2015
2016
2017
2017
2016
Growth rate %
Distributors
Retailers
ibnsinapharma
(1): Data for full year 2017
Source: IMS Health, BMI, WHO
Increase in price of medicine that cost less than EGP
30 by 20% due to increase in production costs
Increase in distribution margin from 7% to 8.1% for
non-essential locally manufactured products
Retail price increase of 30-50% for over 3k SKUs
Price increase of c.50% for MoH's tenders
Strictly Private & Confidential
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