American Jewish Population Project - Pennsylvania Report slide image

American Jewish Population Project - Pennsylvania Report

American Jewish Population Project Competitive Districts Twelve of Pennsylvania's 18 congressional districts were considered safe for their incumbent representatives ahead of the 2020 House elections. Of these twelve, half are represented by Democrats and half by Republicans. The six remaining districts were rated as follows: PA-7 and PA-17 were considered likely to remain Democratic, PA-16 to likely remain Republican, PA-8 leaned Democratic, PA-1 leaned Republican, and PA-10 was considered a toss-up race for Republican Scott Perry.4 Ahead of the presidential election, six of Pennsylvania's 18 congressional districts were rated as competitive. Of these, just three-PA-1, PA-6, and PA-7-have significant Jewish populations.4 Incumbent representatives won reelection in all 18 of Pennsylvania's congressional Districts. Although just one of the three competitive districts in the presidential election went for Joe Biden, he carried the state by 2% of the vote. His win in Pennsylvania, combined with that in Georgia, ultimately clinched him the presidency. Pennsylvania 2020 House Races Six of Pennsylvania's 18 congressional districts were considered competitive House races in 2020. PA Districts Six of Pennsylvania's 18 congressional districts were considered reliable for Republicans ahead of the 2020 House races. None have a significant Jewish population. 6 Solid R Going into the 2020 House elections, Representative Mike Kelly (R) was considered likely to hold on to his seat in district PA-16, which does not have a significant Jewish population. Competitive District PA-1 leaned Republican going into the 2020 House races and is represented by Brian Fitzpatrick (R). His district is home to the second-largest Jewish adult population in the state, accounting for -13% of the state's Jewish electorate. 1 2 1 1 6 Solid D Six of Pennsylvania's 18 congressional districts were considered solid for Democrats going into the 2020 House races. All have significant Jewish populations, ranging from ~11,000 adults in PA-6 to ~54,000 in PA-9. Altogether, they account for about three-fifths of the state's Jewish electorate. Going into the 2020 House elections, Representative Conor Lamb (D) was considered likely to hold on to his seat in district PA-17, which does not have a significant Jewish population. Susan Wild, who represents PA-7, was also considered likely to keep her seat. Her district is home to -11,000 Jewish adults, accounting for just under 4% of the state's Jewish electorate. PA-10 was rated as a Republican toss-up district ahead of the 2020 House races. Represented by Scott Perry (R), it does not have a significant Jewish population. Ahead of the 2020 House races, competitive district PA-8 leaned Democratic. Represented by Matt Carwright (D), it does not have a significant Jewish population. Brandeis STEINHARDT SOCIAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE 5
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