Maersk Results Presentation Deck
A.P. Moller Maersk Group
- Interim Report 02 2015
GUIDANCE
FOR 2015
The Group's expectation of an underlying
result around USD 4.0bn is unchanged.
Gross cash flow used for capital expenditure
is now expected to be around USD 8bn in
2015 (USD 8.7bn) from previously around
USD 9bn, while cash flow from operating
activities is still expected to develop in line
with the result.
Copenhagen, 13 August 2015
Contacts
Group CEO Nils S. Andersen - tel. +45 3363 1912
Group CFO Trond Westlie - tel. +45 3363 3106
Changes in guidance are versus guidance given at 01 2015.
All figures in parenthesis refer to full year 2014.
The Interim Report for Q3 is expected to be announced on
6 November 2015.
Contents
Maersk Line reiterates the expectation of a higher underlying
result than for 2014 (USD 2.2bn). Global demand for seaborne
container transportation is revised to an expected increase by
2-4% versus previously by 3-5%.
Maersk Oil now expects a positive underlying result for 2015
significantly below 2014 (USD 1.0bn) at oil prices in the range
55-60 USD per barrel. The previous expectation was a small
positive underlying result. The low oil price is somewhat offset
by the effect of cost savings, strong production performance
and deferred tax income in the UK.
Maersk Oil's entitlement production is now expected at around
285,000 boepd (251,000 boepd) from previously above 265,000
boepd. The exploration expenses are unchanged expected to
be approximately USD 0.7bn (USD 765m) for the year.
APM Terminals revises the expectation for the underlying
result to be significantly below 2014 (USD 849m), previously
below 2014, due to weaker business climate in oil dependent
markets.
Maersk Drilling now expects a significantly higher underly-
ing result than in 2014 (USD 471m), from previously a higher
underlying result, due to more rigs in operation, high forward
contract coverage as well as impact from the initiated profit
optimisation programme.
APM Shipping Services now expects the underlying result for
2015 to be significantly above the 2014 result (USD 185m), from
previously above the 2014 result, due to better performance in
the first half of 2015.
The Group's guidance for 2015 is subject to considerable uncer-
tainty, not least due to developments in the global economy,
the container freight rates and the oil price.
The Group's result depends on a number of factors. Based on
the expected earnings level and all other things being equal,
the sensitivities on calendar 2015 for four key value drivers are
listed in the table below.
Factors
Oil price for Maersk Oil
Bunker price
Container freight rate
Container freight volume
Change
+/-10 USD/barrel
+/-100 USD/tonne
+/-100 USD/FFE
+/-100,000 FFE
Effect on the Group's
underlying profit
rest of year
+/-USD 0.16bn
-/+ USD 0.1bn
+/-USD 0.5bn
+/-USD 0.1bn
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