Investor Presentaiton
GEL supported by sustained FX inflows and tight monetary policy
Currency movements vs. US$, Jan 2022 - Jul 2022
20.7% 18.0% 12.0%
0.1%
-7.9%
-8.8% -10.1% -25.4%
-25.8%
RUB
AMD
GEL
AZN
MDL
KZT
EUR
UAH
TRY
GEL real effective exchange rate
120
REER (Jan 2014 = 100)
110
22
100
90
80
Feb-14
Jun-14
Oct-14
Feb-15
Jun-15
Oct-15
Feb-16
Jun-16
Oct-16
Feb-17
Jun-17
Source: Bloomberg, NBG.
Note: +/- means appreciation/depreciation.
120
REER 3-year moving average
+2.4%
110
YTD
Oct-17
Feb-18
Jun-18
Oct-18
Feb-19
Jun-19
Oct-19
Feb-20
Jun-20
Oct-20
Feb-21
Jun-21
Oct-21
Feb-22
Jun-22
100
90
80
GEL continues to appreciate on the back of
strong external inflows, tight monetary policy and
improved sentiments. As of 31 July 2022, the
Georgian currency gained 12.0% against the US
Dollar year-to-date
Given strong external inflows and tight monetary
policy, GEL is expected to remain stable in the
medium term
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