Financial Performance and Remediation Update
PROVISIONS
MOVEMENT IN PROVISIONS¹
($m)
(230)
6,011
5,745
181
(405)
(120)
5,171
Total Provisions
Sep 20
Total Provisions
Mar 21
Underlying collective Forward looking
provision
Economic
Adjustment
Target sector
forward looking
adjustments
UNDERLYING CP
Model outcomes
based on point-in-
time data
.
Forms baseline
2H21 release
reflects improved
environment and
customer positions
.
•
.
Specific provision Total Provisions
Sep 21
ECONOMIC ADJUSTMENT (EA)
Forward view of additional stress across portfolio from base-
line, according to 3 probability weighted scenarios (upside,
base case & downside)
Scenarios based on forward looking macro economic data and
granular PD and LGD assumptions
EA top-up required where probability weighted EA higher over
the period (and vice versa)
2H21 EA increase of $181m reflects modest increased
TARGET SECTOR FLAS
•
Considers forward looking
stress incremental to EA
changes
$248m release in FLAS
relating to the partial sale of
the Aviation portfolio
weighting to downside scenario (30% to 32.5%) given
increased uncertainty in the economic outlook²
(1) Excludes provisions on fair value loans and derivatives
(2) Australian base case weighting now 62.5% (from 65% at 1H21) and Downside weighting now 32.5% (from 30% at 1H21)
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Australia
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