Investor Presentaiton
EXPECTED CREDIT LOSSES (ECL) HIGHER
EXPECTED CREDIT LOSS (ECL) PROVISIONING PROCESS AND MOVEMENTS¹
($m)
3,900
4,835
155
661
367
(7)
6,011
Probability weighted ECL Probability weighted ECL
Sep 19
Mar 20
Underlying collective
provision
Forward looking
Economic Adjustment
Target sector forward
looking adjustments
Specific provision
Probability weighted ECL
Sep 20
UNDERLYING CP
Model outcomes
based on point-in-
time data
•
Forms base-line
•
ECONOMIC ADJUSTMENT (EA)
Minimum 6 monthly reviews
Forward view of additional stress across portfolio
from base-line, according to 3 scenarios (upside,
base, downside) which are probability weighted
Scenarios based on forward looking macro economic
data and granular PD and LGD assumptions
EA top-up required where probability weighted EA
higher over the period (and vice versa)
TARGET SECTOR FLAS
Considers forward
looking stress
incremental to EA top-
up
Specific to particular
parts of the portfolio e.g.
sector or region
(1) Expected credit losses (ECL) excludes collective provisions on fair value loans and derivatives
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National
Australia
BankView entire presentation