3Q 2023 Investor Presentation
Key Assumptions Underlying our Medium-Term Targets
Moody's medium-term guidance refers to a time period within 5 years and reflects assumptions about numerous factors that could affect its business and is based on currently
available information reviewed by management through and as of today's date.
These assumptions include, but are not limited to, the effects of interest rates, inflation, foreign currency exchange rates, capital markets' liquidity and activity in different sectors of the
debt markets. This outlook also reflects assumptions about general economic conditions, including inflation and related monetary policy actions by governments in response to
inflation, global GDP, and the impacts resulting from changes in international conditions, including as a result of the military conflict in Ukraine, as well as assumptions related to the
Company's own operations and personnel. These assumptions are subject to increased uncertainty due to the current inflationary environment and the military conflict in Ukraine.
Actual results could differ materially from Moody's outlook.
The guidance also incorporates various assumptions as of January 31, 2023, including: (a) U.S. and Euro area GDP to stagnate in the near-term, followed by economic recovery; (b)
the U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield to stabilize, fluctuating modestly around current levels; (c) issuers continue to refinance maturing debt; (d) MA customer retention rates remain in-line
with historical levels; and (e) pricing initiatives align with prior practices and enhancements to customer value.
Moody's Corporation Medium-Term Guidance (as of January 31, 2023)
Moody's Corporation
Revenue
Adjusted Operating Margin (1)
Adjusted Diluted EPS (1)
Moody's Analytics (MA)
MA global revenue
MA Adjusted Operating Margin
Moody's Investors Service (MIS)
MIS global revenue
MIS Adjusted Operating Margin
1.
At least 10% growth
Low-50s percent range
Low-double-digit percent growth
Low-to-mid-teens percent growth
Mid-30s percent range
Low-to-mid-single-digit percent growth
Low-60s percent range
Note: Growth refers to average annualized growth over the time period. Assumes full year 2022 as the base year.
Moody's does not provide medium-term operating margin and diluted EPS guidance on a U.S. GAAP basis because the items that the Company excludes to derive Adjusted Operating Margin and Adjusted Diluted EPS cannot be reasonably
predicted or assumed, for example the amount of amortization associated with acquired intangible assets from future M&A activity. Accordingly, the Company does not forecast these items over the medium-term. The occurrence, timing and
amount of any of the items excluded from operating income to derive Adjusted Operating Income, Adjusted Operating Margin and Adjusted Diluted EPS could significantly impact the Company's medium-term U.S. GAAP results.
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3Q 2023 Investor Presentation
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