Energy Storage Value and Adoption Analysis slide image

Energy Storage Value and Adoption Analysis

Storage Installed Cost ($/kW) Study Conclusions Optimal Storage Deployment Curves Future procurements could be expressed as an "optimal deployment curve" to account for cost uncertainty and changing system conditions. $2,000 $1,800 $2,000 $1,800 $1,600 $1,400 Energy storage not cost-effective at the upper-bound of the forecasted 2020 storage cost range ($1,800/kW) Range of $1,600 costs considered $1,400 $1,200 $1,000 $800 $1,200 2020 $1,000 $800 $600 $600 $400 $200 ② At the lower bound of the 2020 storage cost range ($1,200/kW), the optimal storage deployment level is 175 MW $400 ① At the upper-bound of the 2030 storage cost range ($1,310/kW), optimal deployment is around 700 MW ②At the lower-bound of the 2030 storage cost range ($880/kW), optimal storage deployment reaches the total system- wide need for new capacity (1,000 MW) $200 $0 $0 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 0 200 400 600 Notes: Estimated Optimal Storage Deployment (MW) 2030 Range of costs considered 800 1,000 Estimated Optimal Storage Deployment (MW) Costs are shown in nominal dollars. Values are based on an assumed energy storage configuration of 10 MW / 40 MWh. brattle.com 34
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