Investor Presentaiton
Covid-19 impact
The economic downturn in 2008-09 showed resilient demand for chemical tankers,
Fundamentals looks likely to support our markets in the event of a new downturn
Chemical tanker demand during 2008-2009 economic recession
Organics
Inorganics
Vegoils
Others
+3%
179
180
191
12
Outbreak
timing
176
12
14
18
56
5557
51
55
53
25
25
27
25
GDP
recovery
27
Chemical tanker demand development post Covid-19 pandemic
O Pandemic struck Asia that accounts for 49% of seaborne imports of chemicals first
Recovery well underway in Asia supporting seaborne trade of chemicals
O Regional differences are in general seen as supportive to seaborne trade
© 2008/09 economic crisis was structural, 2020 crisis due to "self-imposed" lockdowns
O 2008/09 recovery was quicker in Asia than in the western hemisphere
O IMF forecast 2021 GDP growth of 5.8% driven by eased lockdowns and stimulus
96
86
88
81
Supply
growth
O The weak chemical tanker market post 2008/09 was supply driven, not demand driven
O Fleet growth in 2008 and 2009 was 15.4% and 14.9%, respectively
✪ Fleet growth in 2020 and 2021 is estimated to 1.4% and 0.4%, respectively
2007
2008
2009
2010
Source: ICIS, Odfjell
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