State of the Bangladesh Economy in FY2023-24 (First Reading) slide image

State of the Bangladesh Economy in FY2023-24 (First Reading)

Independent Review of RBD Bangladesh's Development Move toward market aligned exchange rate a ☐ CPD's May 2023 analysis indicated that there was significant gap between the prevailing exchange rate (of USD 1 = BDT 104.0) and the equilibrium (high bound) rate, which would require a further depreciation of the BDT in the range of 15%. Since then, BDT has been depreciated by about 8.0%. ☐ The Bangladesh Bank has been gradually depreciating the BDT and the difference between NER and REER has come down significantly. There appears to be space for further depreciation as indicated by the prevailing difference between the multiple official formal as also these and the kerb market rates. Figure 5.2: REER vs NER vs NEER in Bangladesh 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 NEER REER NER 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 REER vs NEER vs NER (Bangladesh) REER 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 NER ►NEER 2020 Jan-22 REER Mar-22 May-22 Jul-22 Sep-22 Nov-22 Source: Extracted from Bruegel (2023) and World Bank (2023). NER NEER Jan-23 Mar-23 CPD (2023): State of the Bangladesh Economy in FY2023-24 (First Reading) 77
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