Investor Presentaiton
Dubai Economic Update
Highlights
.
Real GDP growth for Dubai estimated at 4.5% in 2013, as
manufacturing, trade and hospitality expanded robustly.
The
construction and real estate sectors also contributed positively to
growth for the first time since 2008.
GDP growth expected to accelerate to 4.7% in 2014 on the back of
continued growth in tourism and hospitality, boosting trade, transport
and associated services. The sharp recovery in real estate prices
should boost construction as new projects are launched.
Infrastructure spending ahead of Expo 2020 is expected to underpin
activity in the construction sector over the medium term; hosting the
event estimated to add 0.5pp to Dubai's growth over 2015-2017.
Composition of Dubai GDP (H1 2013)
% y/y
Dubai: Real GDP growth
Emirates NBD
6%
4.7%
5%
4.4% 4.5%
4.5%
4%
3.2%
2.8%
3.0%
3%
2%
1%
0%
-1%
-2%
-3%
-2.4%
2008
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013f 2014f 2015f
Source: Dubai Statistics Centre, Emirates NBD Research
Dubai's fastest growing sectors
Dubai GDP by Sector (%) -H1 2013
Hotels
5%
Manuf.
Trade
Hosp.
Trans. & comm.
Fin Servcs.
Constr. & RE
30
25
Fin
Servcs.
12%
Trade
29%
Trans. &
comm.
14%
% y/y
15
25050
10
-5
Other
Manuf.
16%
3%
-10
RE
21%
-15
H1 2010
H1 2011
H1 2012
H1 2013
Source Dubai Statistics Centre, Emirates NBD Research
Source: Dubai Statistics Centre, Emirates NBD Research
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