2022-23 SGI CANADA Annual Report
The following tables show the development of the estimated net provision for unpaid claims relative to the current
estimate of ultimate claims costs for the 10 most recent accident years as estimated at each reporting date.
(thousands of $)
Accident year
Net ultimate loss
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Jan 1, 2022-
Mar 31, 2023
At end of
accident year
One year later
282,681
295,363
326,329
$ 293,023 $ 314,683 $ 345,276 $ 365,571 $ 438,198 $ 466,312 $ 496,422 $ 479,021 $ 662,797 $ 769,559
346,922 433,188 462,429 488,439
467,011
534,854
Two years later
274,536
Three years later
Four years later
272,049
270,925
289,673
287,339
286,092
321,180 336,138
317,749 339,332 424,961
420,107
318,542 335,356
419,517
455,301 483,387
454,121 483,806
457,135
472,095
Five years later
271,522
Six years later
283,417 318,763 334,542 424,054
270,769 282,055 318,346 334,981
Seven years later
Eight years later
Nine years later
Cumulative loss
development
Cumulative loss
development as
a % of original
ultimate loss
270,313
270,166
270,454
282,447 319,764
283,383
$ (22,569) $ (31,300) $ (25,512) $ (30,590) $ (14,144) $ (9,177) $ (12,616) $
(6,926) $ (127,943)
n/a
(7.7%)
(9.9%)
(7.4%)
(8.4%)
(3.2%)
(2.0%)
(2.5%)
(1.4%) (19.3%)
n/a
The Corporation has a March 31 fiscal year end, however actuarial valuations are performed using a
January 1 December 31 accident year. As such, the shaded net ultimate losses are as at December 31 and the
non-shaded net ultimate losses are as at March 31.
(thousands of $)
Accident year
Current estimate
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Jan 1, 2022-
Mar 31, 2023
Total
of net ultimate
loss
Cumulative paid
$ 270,454 $ 283,383 $319,764 $ 334,981 $ 424,054 $ 457,135 $ 483,806 $ 472,095 $ 534,854 $ 769,559 $4,350,085
(267,377)
(275,801) (311,826)
(329,039)
(413,020)
(430,754)
(441,694)
(423,610)
(438,743)
(415,560) (3,747,424)
Net provision for
unpaid claims
$
3,077 $ 7,582 $ 7,938 $ 5,942 $
11,034 $
26,381 $
42,112 $
48,485 $ 96,111 $ 353,999 602,661
Net undiscounted claims outstanding for accident years 2012 and prior
Internal reinsurance to subsidiaries
Provision for adverse deviation and discounting
Loss adjusting expense reserve
Subrogation recoveries
Unpaid Facility Association claims
Assumed reinsurance
Health levies
Other reconciling items
Net provision for unpaid claims
48,721
9,779
9,736
26,758
40,131
17,501
845
732
7,440
$ 764,304
2022-23 SGI CANADA Annual Report 67View entire presentation