Expanding in Circular Economy slide image

Expanding in Circular Economy

EBITDA SENSITIVITIES VS 10 YEAR MACRO HISTORY MACRO CONDITIONS 2020 2021 2022 10Y AVG Sensitivity CCS EBITDA SENSITIVITY TO KEY EXTERNAL DRIVERS - E&P Est. Clean CCS EBITDA impact (USD mn) % of Group EBITDA 2022 2.6% Brent crude (USD/bbl) Natgas price (TTF 1M, 10 46 131 131 +/- 10 USD/bbl 42 71 101 71 ~120 Brent price +/- 10 EUR/MWh Gas Price (TTF) ~55 ~35 34 1.2% EUR/MWh) MOL Group refinery Effect of gas price regulation CCS EBITDA SENSITIVITY TO KEY EXTERNAL DRIVERS - DS margin (Brent based, 1.9 1.3 9.0 4.1 USD/bbl) MOL Group petchem margin (EUR/t) +/- 1 USD/bbl MOL Group refinery margin ~110 2.4% 384 720 481 465 +/- EUR 100/t MOL Group petchem margin ~125 ETS carbon price (EUR/t) 25 53 81 23 -/+ 10 EUR/MWh ~95 Gas price (TTF) -/+ EUR 10/t ETS CO2 price ~20 2.7% 2.0% 0.4% 000 Notes: - Sensitivity calculated for 2022; ceteris paribus for current assets assuming full re-pricing of the portfolio; all other premises and volumes remain unchanged - E&P: gas price sensitivity refers to directly spot gas linked portfolio - DS : Refinery margin refers to original methodology, CO2 sensitivity assumes unchanged ETS quota allocation MOLGROUP | 76
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