Nordea Kredit Performance Update
Household debt
Households
Households facing high inflation and rising interest rates
Household debt
300% of disposable
275 income
20.0% of disposable
income
Household savings
300
20.0
% of disposable
Household saving rate
income
275
17.5
17.5
250
250
15.0
15.0
225
225
12.5
12.5
200
200
10.0
10.0
175
175
7.5
7.5
150
150
5.0
5.0
125
125
2.5
2.5
100
100
0.0
0.0
75
75
-2.5
-Finland - Denmark - Norway -Sweden
- Sweden
Finland
Norway
Denmark
-2.5
50
50
-5.0
-5.0
T
02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
Source: Macrobond and Nordea
14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Source: Nordea and Macrobond. 2Q moving average.
Private consumption
140
Index, 2007 = 100
Private consumption
•
Household savings increased dramatically during
the pandemic, but have since returned to more
normal levels as consumption has increased
However, purchasing power is decreasing rapidly.
Rising interest rates as well as high inflation implies
downside risks for private consumption moving
forward
135
130
125
120
Norway
115
Sweden
110
105
Finland
100
Denmark
95
140
Index, 2007 = 100
135
130
125
120
115
110
105
100
95
07
08
09
10
11
12 13 14 15
16
17 18
39
19 20 21 22
Source: Nordea Markets and Macrobond
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