Nutrien Financial and Strategic Update
We expect higher future mid-cycle fertilizer prices
US Midwest Potash Rolling 10-Yr Average¹
US$/Short Ton
500
NOLA Urea Rolling 10-Yr Average¹
US$/Short Ton
Trendline
Trendline
400
300
200
100
0
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
Tampa Ammonia Rolling 10-Yr Average¹
US$/Tonne
600
Trendline
500
400
300
200
100
0
2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022
Expect potash supply constraints to
support an increase in average potash
prices through the cycle
2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022
Expected tightness in supply by mid-
decade and increased marginal costs
in Europe and Asia support increased
average prices through the cycle
2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022
Ammonia supply reductions from
Russia and Europe as well as a step-
change in average European natural
gas prices supports higher average
ammonia prices through the cycle
1.
From Oct 2013 to Oct 2023 YTD.
Source: CRU, NutrienView entire presentation