Nevada Statewide Greenhouse Gas Emissions Inventory and Projections
Nevada Statewide Greenhouse Gas Emissions Inventory and Projections, 1990 to 2030
100%
Figure 9-3: Relative Contributions of Fossil Fuel Industry Emissions, 1990 – 2015
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Oil
NG Production
■NG Transmission
■NG Distribution
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
9.3
Projected Emissions
Projected emissions in this sector were based on the assumption that natural gas and oil emissions
would not significantly change in Nevada before 2030. The methods presented in the SIT were applied
to estimates of changes in the natural gas and oil sectors in order to project emissions through 2030.
Emissions from natural gas production were held constant to their 2015 levels; these emissions have
largely gone unchanged over the past 20 years and it is not expected that they will significantly change
in the next 15 years. Natural gas transmission emissions were based on forecasting growth in the
transmission pipeline mileage in the state. Natural gas distribution emissions estimates were calculated
based on forecasting growth in the plastic distribution pipeline and an historical average of the
protected steel distribution pipeline. Oil production, refining, and transport emissions estimates were
held constant to the most recent 5 year historical average (2011 to 2015).
Based on these assumptions, total GHG emissions from the fossil fuel industry will increase by about
75,000 MTCO2eq by 2030. Overall, these projections show that this sector will continue to be a minor
contributor of GHGs in the state. Figure 9-4 illustrates the historical and projected emissions from the
fossil fuel industry. The vertical dashed line marks the end of historical emissions and the beginning of
the projections.
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