2010 Outlook
Scotia Capital: 2nd Highest Revenue Quarter
Revenues (TEB)
($ millions)
1,104
614
910
443
232
490
467
208
24
Q4/08
Q3/09
Q4/09
Global Capital Markets
Global Corporate & Investment Banking
Scotiabank
Q4/09 vs. Q4/08 Revenues
+ Q4/08 included $503MM in writedowns
Global Capital Markets
+ Stronger fixed income & equity revenues
-
Lower FX revenues, vs. record in Q4/08
Global Corporate & Investment Banking
+ Record credit fees & investment banking revenues
+ Significantly wider lending spreads & higher loan
origination fees
- Lower loan volumes
Q4/09 vs. Q3/09 Revenues
Global Capital Markets
-
- 2nd best trading quarter ever, but down vs. record Q3
Lower derivatives & fixed income revenues
Global Corporate & Investment Banking
- Lower loan volumes, but wider lending spreads
Decreased loan origination fees
-
+ Record credit fees & investment banking revenues
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Economic Outlook in Key Markets
Real GDP (Annual % Change)
2010E
2009F
2008
2000-07 Avg.
Mexico
3.4
(6.8)
1.3
2.9
Peru
4.2
1.4
9.8
5.1
Chile
5.0
(1.5)
3.2
4.4
Jamaica
0.0
(4.0)
(1.0)
1.5
Trinidad & Tobago
3.0
(0.7)
3.5
8.2
Costa Rica
1.8
(1.5)
2.9
4.7
Dominican Republic
2.0
0.5
4.8
5.4
Thailand
4.0
(3.5)
2.9
4.9
2010E
2009F
2008
2000-07 Avg.
Canada
2.7
(2.4)
0.4
2.9
U.S.
3.1
(2.5)
0.4
2.6
Source: Scotia Economics, as of December 7th
Scotiabank
44View entire presentation