Retail Banking Financial Update
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
Jan-14
Apr-14
Aug-14
M2, % change, y/y (LHS)
2012
2013
2014
FX RESERVES
FLOATING EXCHANGE RATE - POLICY PRIORITY
Source: NBG
5.0
1.42
130
1.30
1.36
1.6
1.31
1.25
1.23 1.24
1.27
ON WA
1.16
1.29
1.4
120
4.0
1.03
1.2
110
3.9
3.0
3.5
1.0
100
3.3
2.8
2.9
3.0
2.0
2.8 2.7
2.8
2.5
2.3
1.0
0.0
3
0.8
90
0.6
80
0.4
0.2
70
0.0
Official FX reserves, US$ bn
-M2 multiplier
• M2 AND ANNUAL INFLATION
Nov-14
Mar-15
Jul-15
Oct-15
Feb-16
May-16
Sep-16
Jan-17
Apr-17
Aug-17
Dec-17
Mar-18
Jul-18
Oct-18
Feb-19
Jun-19
Sep-19
Annual inflation, eop (RHS)
Jan-20
Apr-20
Aug-20
Dec-20
2018
2019
2020
Jan-14
Apr-14
Aug-14
M2 AND USD/GEL
Source: NBG
8%
35%
30%
6%
25%
20%
4%
15%
2%
10%
5%
0%
0%
-5%
-2%
-10%
Jan-14
Apr-14
Aug-14
Nov-14
Mar-15
Jul-15
Oct-15
Feb-16
May-16
Sep-16
Jan-17
M2, % change, y/y (LHS)
Apr-17
Aug-17
Dec-17
Nominal effective exchange rate
Mar-18
Jul-18
Oct-18
Feb-19
Jun-19
Sep-19
- GEL/USD, % change, y/y (RHS)
Jan-20
Apr-20
Aug-20
Dec-20
NOMINAL AND REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE
(JAN2014=100)
Aug-16
Nov-16
Mar-17
Jun-17
Oct-17
Jan-18
May-18
Aug-18
Dec-18
Mar-19
Jul-19
Oct-19
Real effective exchange rate
Source: NBG
130
120
-5.6% y/y 110
100
-7.4% y/y 80
70
Feb-20
May-20
Sep-20
Dec-20
Source: NBG
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
06
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