Currency and Interest Rate Outlook slide image

Currency and Interest Rate Outlook

K KASIKORNTHAI ธนาคารกสิกรไทย 开泰银行 KASIKORNBANK Ongoing Government Measures to Assist Cost of Living Household Assistance Measures Energy Prices Elimination of some Oil Fund levies (effective Diesel Price 35 33 Baht/Litre 27 22222- Price moves in accordance with global oil prices 29.99 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 --- Retail Price Price without Subsidy Details Train and Bus Fares: Bt500 monthly allowance for welfare card holders to use for bus and train service Necessity Goods: A Bt100* grant per month in welfare card to purchase necessity goods, products intended for education and farming materials from all Blue Flag shops Cooking Gas: A Bt45 discount each quarter in welfare card for purchasing cooking gas Allowances (e-Money): Up to Bt 200** for e-Money in welfare card, which can be withdrawed from an ATM Water and electricity price: Reduce water and electricity bills and refund meter fees Diesel Fuel: Government intends to restructure diesel fuel prices to reflect global prices NGV and LPG Price: Government lowered the NGV and LPG subsidy, allowing retail selling prices to reflect global market prices ■ NGV price rose to Bt15.31/kg since April 2019, align with global price LPG prices are as follows: ➤ Household sector: Current household LPG prices are Bt18.87/kg and Bt16.37/kg for low income household. ➤ Transport sector: adjusted to market price at Bt18.87/kg ➤ Industrial sector: adjusted in line with relevant production costs, currently at Bt18.87/kg FT Rate: Fuel Adjustment Tariff (FT) Rate for electricity is set to increase by less than the actual cost (from May-August 2021, FT rate at Bt-0.1532/unit) Value-added-tax (VAT) Rate On August 25, 2020, the Government announced the following VAT Rates: ■Maintain the 7% value-added-tax (VAT) rate until September 30, 2021 Note: *Effective period July- October 2019 ** Household income exceed Bt30,000 per annum will get Bt 100 for e-Money Source: KResearch บริการทุกระดับประทับใจ K KASIKORNTHAI Public Transport Infrastructure Investment 2015 to 2022 Type of Projects Source of funds ธนาคารกสิกรไทย 开泰银行 KASIKORNBANK Project Detail (Total Budget) Total projects of "Thailand strategic development of transport infrastructure 2015 to 2022" master plan* 6. Air Transport 6% 5. Marine Transport 6% 4. Dual-Track Railways 15% 3. Bangkok and Mass- Transit system 7. Others 1. High-speed 6% Rails 34% LIA State PPP 22% Enterprise TFF 12% fund 1. High-speed Rails (Bt1,006.7 bn) 4. Dual-Track Railways (Bt438.2bn) 2% 2. Motorway & Roads (Bt512.3 bn) 5. Marine Transport (Bt187.6 bn) Govern ment Loan 3. Bangkok and Mass-Transit system (Bt476.7 bn) 6. Air Transport (Bt183.5 bn). Govern 35% ment 2. Motorway & Roads 17% Budget 29% Total Budget Number of projects Total disbursement Total projects 119 New vs on-going projects Bt3,017,600mn Project Detail (Expected disbursement in 2021) Type of Projects 1. Bangkok and Mass-Transit system(Bt48.1 bn) 4. High-speed Rails (Bt30.2 bn) 6. Air Transport 7. Others 2% 1. Bangkok and Mass-Transit system 31% New projects 11% For 2021, public infrastructure investment is estimated to be B175bn or 12% higher than 2020* 5. Marine Transport 9% 3% 4. High-speed Rails 16% 3. Dual-Track Railways 17% 2. Motorway & Roads 22% 2. Motorway & Roads (Bt40.2 bn) 5. Marine Transport (Bt15.7 bn) 3. Dual-Track Railways (Bt30.8 bn) 6. Air Transport (Bt6.1 bn) On-going projects 89% Number of projects 35 31 4 Total disbursement Bt175.1bn Bt126.4bn Bt48.7bn Expected in 2021 Total projects On-going projects New projects Source: Office of Transport and Traffic Policy and Planning (Thailand strategic development of transport infrastructure 2015 to 2022 master plan) and KResearch (July 2021) Notes: PPP = Public-Private Partnership, TFF fund = Thailand future fund. Total investment may be reduced due to cutting the scope of work, delay in construction, and allocation of state disbursement for COVID-19 relief measures * The budget of Bt1.91trn referring "Thailand strategic development of transport infrastructure 2015 to 2022 master plan" are excluded High-speed train (Bt637.3bn) and Suvarnabhumi airport (Bt104.4bn), but our estimation include both of these projects บริการทุกระดับประทับใจ 135 136
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