Investor Presentaiton
Ireland's Debt to GNI* to rise modestly in 2021
Large fiscal response to Covid but Government aims for primary surplus by 2023
2021 GG deficit forecasted at €13.3bn
(5.9% of GNI*) but could be smaller
10%
Debt position reversed by Covid response
Debt fell from 166% to 95% of national
income pre-Covid
180%
Debt-to-GNI*
160%
5%
(106% 2021f; 95% in 2019)
140%
0%
120%
-5%
Debt-to-GG Revenue
(254% 2021f; 232% in 2019)
100%
80%
-10%
60%
-15%
-20%
Average interest rate
(1.4% 2021f, from 2.2% in 2019)
40%
20%
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
0%
GG Balance (% GNI*)
Primary Balance (% GNI*)
Gníomhaireacht Bainistíochta an Chisteáin Náisiúnta
National Treasury Management Agency
Debt-to-GDP^
(55% 2021f, from 57% in 2019)
Source: CSO, Department of Finance forecasts
^ Debt to GDP is not an appropriate metric to use for Ireland
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Debt to GNI*
-Debt to GDP
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