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Investor Presentaiton

Firm external position leading to less vulnerability to external shocks June 2021 Comments The trade balance deficit amounted to US$ 0.3bn in 4m 2021 which is relatively comparable to US$ 0.1bn in 4m 2020. Slight increase in the deficit is resulting from a slightly higher growth in imports (by 13.4% y-o-y) vs exports (by 12.8% y-o-y) The current account (CA) balance demonstrated surplus of US$ 1.1bn in 4m 2021 which is lower than US$ 3.5bn during the same period of the previous year mainly due to outflows related to investment income (US$ 3.9bn in 4m 2021 vs US$ 1.6bn in 4m 2020) The financial account continued to record capital outflows (US$ 1.3bn in 4m 2021) which was primarily due to a souring of global financial conditions for EMs Balance of payments components, US$ bn BoP, 2.6 2.8 5.9 2.0 0.6 (0.2) US$ bn (3.5) 10.1 9.3 6.1 (6.5) 2017 2018 6.2 3.5 1.1 (1.3) (2.9) (4.1) (4.2) 2019 2020 4m 2020 4m 2021 Private money remittances, US$ bn 22.9% 19.9% ■Current account balance ■Financial account balance Ukraine's current and trade balance dynamics, US$ bn CA as % of GDP (3.1)% 53.9 (4.9)% 59.2 (2.7)% 63.5 4.0% 60.6 (1.2%) 22.6 20.0 11.9 11.1 7.3% 9.3 (7.8%) (8.7%) (20.2) (22.9) (8.2%) (0.3%) 3.7 4.0 (62.7) (62.4) (70.6) (76.0) 2017 2018 2019 2020 4m 2020 4m 2021 Personal money remittances, US$ bn 2017 2018 2019 2020 4m 2020 4m 2021 Remittances y-o-y change, % Export of goods and services Import of goods and services Trade balance (% of GDP) BA Source NBU 9
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