2023 Guidance and Q3 Earnings
2023 full year outlook considerations to support modelling
Vaccines turnover
Increase around 20%, excluding pandemic adjuvant
sales
Shingrix to increase mid-teens %
Arexvy between £0.9bn and £1.0bn
Flu to decrease around 25 to 30%
Meningitis to increase mid-teens %
Established Vaccines to increase high single-digit %
Turnover to adj. operating profit items
COGS: to increase at a rate broadly aligned to
turnover
SG&A: to increase at a rate broadly aligned to turnover
R&D: to increase at a rate slightly below turnover
Royalties: around £900m
GSK adj. operating profit is expected to increase
between 13% and 15%
The above items exclude the impact of COVID-19
solutions
Specialty Medicines turnover
Increase low double-digit % for Specialty Medicines,
excluding Xevudy sales
HIV to increase around 10%
Oncology to increase low single-digit %
Adj. operating profit to adj. EPS items
Interest: between £650m to £700m
Share of associates: negligible
Tax rate: around 15% to 15.5%
Non-controlling interest: ViiV is main ongoing NCI, with
Q1 2022 'Other' NCI not repeating
GSK adj. EPS is expected to increase between 17%
and 20%
General Medicines turnover
Increase low to mid single-digit %
COVID-19 solutions
Not anticipating significant sales
Expect this to reduce GSK turnover growth by
approximately 8% and reduce adj. operating profit
growth by 4% to 5%
Dividend
Expect 56.5p per share
GSK
All turnover and growth comments at CER. Adj. is abbreviation for Adjusted. All expectations and targets regarding future performance and the dividend should be read together with the "Guidance, assumptions and
cautionary statements" on page 52 of our third quarter 2023 earnings release, page 2 of our third quarter 2023 results announcement and the cautionary statement slide included with this presentation. Tax rate
expectation is based on enacted legislation and is reflective of the anticipated performance of the business and key assets. The tax rate could fluctuate in individual years due to the timings of settlements of open
years with tax authorities, as we continuously bring our tax affairs up to date, or due to changes in legislation. Interest expectation assumes no significant adverse movements in interest rates.
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