Investor Presentaiton
40
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25
Independent Review of
RBD Is Bangladesh Rolling Towards A Debt Stress?
Bangladesh's Development
Scenario One: Simulation Using IMF/World Bank Debt Sustainability Framework
Present Value of External Debt-GDP Ratio (%)
250
0.81% rise 200
Present Value of External Debt-Revenue Ratio
150
111.48
100
20
11.89
12.7
15
9.75
0.51% rise
50
10
10
0
5
9.24
0
FY2017
FY2020
FY2017
(%)
23.4 % rise
21.28% rise
78.69
88.08
57.41
External Debt Service-Revenue Ratio (%)
i.
Shocks (Compared to Baseline
Scenario)
Annual USD 2 bln financial flow
20
18
16
14
ii.
2% exchange rate depreciation
12
10
8.79
iii. 3% rise in nominal interest rate
iv. Tk. 30,000 crore shortfall in
8
6
4
revenue collection
2
CPD (2017): State of the Bangladesh Economy in FY2017 (First Reading)
FY2017
5.01
FY2020
3.78 % rise
7.92
2.6 % rise
5.32
FY2020
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