Assessing Climate Change Risk and Resilience in the Yukon slide image

Assessing Climate Change Risk and Resilience in the Yukon

Table 13 (continued) Impact 1 16 28 29 Legend: Risk score (1-25) Likelihood x Consequence Likelihood based on a score from 1 (very low) to 5 (very high) Consequences to values Tourism Wildfire smoke is transported INF FS EN 15 16 15 long distances, CH AC CM affecting local and 16 16 15 Wildfire regional air quality LH EH HW 16 17 17 Changes to snow INF St FS EN and ice cover 21 21 16 High: More likely than not to occur multiple times per decade; may occur annually Very high: Likely annual, ongoing occurrences Safety risks and reduced access for tourism activities such as dog mush- ing, snowmobiling, hunting and fishing, boating, skiing and snowshoeing, and backcountry access create unsafe or CH AC CM unreliable Snow, ice, water 19 23 19 conditions that reduce access LH EH HW 20 21 20 The health and INF FS EN High: More likely than not safety of people 12 14 12 to occur multiple times on land are at risk CH AC CM from variability, per decade; may occur annually Extreme weather 15 12 15 uncertainty and extreme weather LH EH HW 16 13 14 Flooding in INF FS EN High: More likely than not communities is 16 14 14 more frequent CH AC CM and severe to occur multiple times per decade; may occur annually Snow, ice, water 14 15 14 LH EH HW 12 12 13 The nine values: AC = Access CH = Culture and heritage CM = Community EH = Environmental Health FS = Food security HW = Health and well-being INF = Infrastructure LH = livelihoods Likelihood score: 1 = very low 2 = low 3 moderate 4 = high 5 = very high EN = Risk score Low 0-4 Low 5-8 Moderate 9-12 Moderate 13-15 High 16-20 High 21-25 Energy PAGE 38 ASSESSING CLIMATE CHANGE: RISK AND RESILIENCE IN THE YUKON
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