NICHE JUNGLE Indonesia Outlook
NJ Project: 75% upside on a very conservative scenario
Something to look up to: the case of Indian small caps
Security
MXINSC Index
MXIN Index
MSCI INDIA SMALL CAP
MSCI India Index
Currency
INR
INR
Price Change
137.34%
67.16%
Total Return
137.34%
67.16%
Track Annotate QZoom
Difference
70.18%
MSCI Small Cap India Vs MSCI India
The small caps in India outperformed significantly the big caps when the outlook for the
Indian market improved, in the last 3 years. We expect this to happen shortly in Indonesia
Sep
Dec
Mar
Jun
Sep
Dec
Mar
Jun
Sep
Dec
Mar
Jun
Sep
2023
2022
2021
2020
Source: Bloomberg, NicheAM
140
120
100
-80
60
40
20
0
Small caps thrive in a positive economic scenario:
indian small cap are now trading at a premium to the main index: 23,5x earnings '23
Upside at project closure: 75%
that corresponds to 13.8x earnings, today's Indonesia big caps valuation
Clearly, we do not consider a potential rerating towards India small cap (23.5x earnings, further immediate upside +70%)
And we do not consider the expected mid term EPS growth (EPS growth 12%; further upside in 5 years time +70%)
NICHE
JUNGLEView entire presentation