Investor Presentaiton
Rangebound aluminium prices, slower decline in demand
Expected improved market balance in 2024
Hydro
Rangebound all-in metal
prices
LME
USD/t
4.000
Growing Russian % of metal
in LME warehouses
Share of Russian metal, %
NOK/t
100%
Tightening estimated global
balance
Primary production, million tonnes
1.6
1.4
Large demand drop in B&C
drives down billet demand
Extrusion growth YoY, %
6%
35 000
90%
3 500
80%
- 30 000
70%
3 000
25 000
60%
2 500
50%
20 000
40%
2 000
1 500
01/01/2020
01/01/2022
30%
15 000
20%
10 000
10%
Лим
01/01/2024
-
LME 3M LME 3M (NOK)
Source: CRU, Bloomberg, LME, Hydro analysis
0%
Feb-20
Apr-20
Oct-20
Dec-20
Feb-21
Apr-21
Aug-21
Oct-21
Dec-21
Feb-22
Apr-22
Jun-22
Aug-22
Oct-22
Dec-22
Feb-23
Apr-23
Aug-23
Oct-23
Dec-23
-1.2
-1.3
2023
2024
World ex. China
China
-16%
-15%
H1-2023 o
EU and NA
-7%
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