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Investor Presentaiton

24 Asset quality metrics Asset quality metrics reflect the solid performance of core loans to date Balance sheet ECL provisions (£'mn) 158 150 200 Gross core loans by Stage (£'mn) as % of 5.8% 5.1% 10.4% 7.1% 3.2% 3.3% 2.8% 2.1% gross core loans 1.5% 2.2% 1.9% 1.7% subject to ECL Of which Ongoing 1400 107 101 100 67 108 Stage 3 1200 ■Stage 2 1000 50 31 42 35 ■Stage 1 27 800 37 27 32 14 0 600 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 ECL coverage ratio FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 400 576 576 Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 of which Ongoing Stage 3 0.20% 0.40% 0.26% 0.25% 200 4.7% 5.4% 3.4% 3.5% 0 33.9% 23.5% 28.2% 24.9% 30.4% 23.0% 26.8% 1,242 992 Stage 2 319 379 332 291 Stage 3 16.7% The management ECL overlay totals £16.8 million at 31 March 2022 (£16 million at 31 March 2021; £21 million at 30 September 2021). This is a £4.2 million release since 30 September 2021 to reflect the increased modelled ECL given greater downside weighting as well as the reducing impact that the COVID- 19 pandemic has on management's underlying assumptions offset by the increasing impact of greater global uncertainty with respect to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, as well as wider supply chain issues. The management ECL overlay seeks to capture the significant level of judgement required in the application of the macro-economic scenarios as well as the ongoing uncertainty in the UK and global operating environment that is not currently captured completely by modelled outputs. Notwithstanding the partial release in management ECL overlay during the second half of the year, the overall coverage for Stage 1 and Stage 2 remains elevated at 31 March 2022, reflecting the ongoing uncertainty and deterioration of forward-looking macro-economic scenarios, particularly with respect to inflation. ■FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 Overall asset quality improved in FY2022: Stage 2 exposures reduced to £992 million or 7.1% as a proportion of gross core loans subject to ECL at 31 March 2022 (31 March 2021: 10.4%), but still remain elevated relative to pre-pandemic levels reflecting the continued uncertainty in the macro-economic environment, particularly with respect to inflation. The decrease in Stage 2 loans was predominantly driven by the transfer of loans back to Stage 1 resulting from the updated forward-looking macro-economic scenarios Stage 3 exposures reduced to £291 million at 31 March 2022 or 2.1% of gross core loans subject to ECL (31 March 2021: 2.8%) due to a number of successful exits from existing Stage 3 positions offset by limited new defaults. These exposures are adequately provisioned. Stage 3 coverage reduced due to certain exits (and requisite write-offs) of previously provided for exposures.
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