Investor Presentaiton
National Economic Recovery Continue to Accelerate
Strong GDP Growth¹
QoQ
- YoY
5.72
7.07
8.0
6.0
5.02 5.01
4.0
5.01
5.05
2.0
3.8327 3.7431
4.01
3.14
4.01
3.19
4.21
3.09
4.20
3.06
B.31
3.72
0.04
1.5506 1.81
0.0
(2.07) (1.73)
(0.96) 0.36
-2.0
-4.0
-6.0
-8.0
Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3
2014 2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
(0.16) (0.36) (1.80.30) (17.41) (1.6852)(1.742.41) (0.42 0.96)
(419)
Indonesia's economic recovery momentum has continued in 2022, with the
economy growing 5.31% (yoy), up significantly from 3.70% (yoy) in 2021. Solid
economic growth in 2022 was supported by improving domestic economic activity
along with the increase in social mobility which further boost consumption and
investment, as well as strong export performance. Looking ahead, robust economic
growth in 2023 is projected in the 4.5-5.3% range on the back of increasing
domestic demand in the form of household consumption and investment. The
latest projection is in line with increasing public mobility after the Government fully
repealed community activity restrictions (PPKM), a promising business outlook,
increasing foreign direct investment inflows, as well as the ongoing completion of
national strategic projects.
In terms of spending, solid economic growth was supported in the reporting period
by nearly all GDP components. Household consumption grew 4.93% (yoy) in
response to greater mobility compared to 2021 (2.02% yoy). after the Government
gradually eased the community activity restrictions (PPKM). Export growth remained
Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q4 strong at 16.28% (yoy) compared to 17.95 growth in 2021, driven by continued
Favourable GDP Growth Compared to Peers²
10.00
% yoy
5.00
0.00
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
6.10
5.00
4.80
1.40
strength of demand from Indonesia's major trading partners, notwithstanding the
limited effect of geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine. In the
meantime, investment growth has slowed by 3.07% year on year due to a decline
in building investment, despite strong non-construction investment performance.
Economic improvements remained strong in nearly all economic sectors in 2022.
The growth is primarily driven by the Manufacturing Industry, Transportation and
Warehouse, as well as Wholesale and Retail Trade. Spatially, solid national
economic growth in 2022 was supported by all regions, led by Sulawesi-Maluku-
Papua, followed by Java, Bali-Nusa Tenggara, Kalimantan and Sumatra.
2023 Growth Projection *)
Institutions
GDP growth
-5.00
1.00
2023 Budget
5.3
-10.00
Bank Indonesia
4.5-5.3
-15.00
Consensus Forecast (March 2023)
4.5
Bulgaria
Colombia
India
Indonesia
Philippines
World Bank (GEP, January 2023)
4.8
1.
2.
Source: Central Bureau of Statistics of Indonesia (BPS), ** Including non-profit household consumption
Source: World Economic Outlook Database - January 2023; * indicates estimated figure
IMF (WEO, January 2023)
4.8
ADB (Asian Development Outlook, April 2023)
4.8
70
*) Consensus Forecast number will be given later
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