Definity Investment and Insurance Strategy Overview
26
12-MONTH INDUSTRY OUTLOOK
Personal Auto
We expect the frequency of claims to
continue to normalize toward pre-
pandemic levels and inflationary pressures
affecting vehicle damage claims to remain
elevated.
We expect to see severity decline slightly
in the coming quarters as automotive
industry supply challenges ease and
government monetary actions to control
inflation impact consumer demand.
Both frequency and severity trends as well
as elevated theft levels are expected to
continue to drive firming industry pricing
and a focus on disciplined underwriting in
the coming 12 months.
T
Mong
Personal Property
Due to the volatility of weather events,
combined with the ongoing inflationary
pressure on building materials and
labour, claim costs are expected to
increase and should be reflected in firm
premium pricing over the next 12 months.
We expect this volatility to continue, with
commensurate rate actions, coverage
and appetite changes, and an enhanced
focus on loss prevention and mitigation.
We expect the reinsurance market to
remain disciplined throughout the
remainder of the year, putting greater
emphasis on primary insurers to manage
catastrophe exposures in the higher
catastrophe risk regions of the country.
000
OOO
Commercial Insurance
The elevated risks for an economic
slowdown remain, with inflation moderating
but still above central bank targets. This will
likely impact industry growth somewhat in
the near term.
We expect the commercial lines market to
remain firm into 2024 as carriers focus on
ensuring long-term profitability and
sustainable availability of capacity. We
expect the firm pricing environment to be
influenced by weather events, inflation
trends, expected investment returns, and the
industry's overall underwriting performance.
Elevated reinsurance costs are expected to
prolong firm commercial lines market
conditions and pricing.
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