Kinnevik Results Presentation Deck
Intro
Net Asset Value
The fair value of Kinnevik's 8 percent shareholding in Cedar amounts
to SEK 2,284m, effectively flat in the quarter. The valuation implies a
premium to the peer group average on a 2022 basis that normalizes into
2023, courtesy of Cedar's strong performance and improved outlook.
The fair value of Kinnevik's 14 percent shareholding in Pleo amounts
to SEK 5,333m, down almost 10 percent in the quarter from a mark cor-
responding to where the company raised new financing at in the fourth
quarter of 2021. The write-down reflects the share price development of
the peer group's top quartile in the quarter. The valuation still implies a
significant premium to the peer group in the near-term, but normalizes
over the longer term as Pleo is expected to grow significantly faster than
the best-in-class companies in the peer group that are valued significantly
above the peer group's average valuation level.
The fair value of Kinnevik's 15 percent shareholding in TravelPerk
amounts to SEK 1,717m, effectively flat in the quarter. The assessed
valuation is in line with where the company raised new financing in late
December 2021 and the unchanged equity value reflects Travelperk's
superior performance benefiting from a sharp rebound in travel as well
as continued strong acquisition of new clients. The valuation is largely
in line with the broader peer group average on a 2023 revenue basis.
CONSUMER FINANCE
Our Consumer Finance businesses are typically benchmarked against a
peer set of digital wealth managers such as Avanza (AZA.ST) and Nordnet
(SAVE.ST), and consumer-facing subscription businesses such as Match
Group (MTCH) and Netflix (NFLX). On average, the companies in the
broader composite peer set grew revenue by 40 percent in 2021 with
gross margins above 50 percent, largely in line with our investments in
the sector.
The fair value of Kinnevik's 14 percent shareholding in Betterment
amounts to SEK 1,395m, down some 12 percent in the quarter. The
peer group's average multiple contracted by nearly 20 percent in the
first quarter and we continue to value Betterment at an approximate
10 percent premium to the peer group average in consideration of the
company's stronger growth trajectory. Betterment's revenues are primarily
derived from fees on assets under management and therefore remain in
KINNEVIK
Interim Report Q1 2022
Portfolio Overview
Sustainability
part correlated with the development of the US and global stock market.
This may clearly affect performance and the near-term outlook over the
coming quarters considering the current market environment. Per the end
of March, the company's assets under management exceeded USD 33bn.
The fair value of Kinnevik's 6 percent shareholding in Lunar amounts
to SEK 800m, up around 12 percent in the quarter in addition to the
new capital invested. The valuation of Lunar relative to the peer group
is calibrated by a secondary transaction in the company during the
quarter, but disregards the valuation level at which the company raised
new financing from existing shareholders at around the same time. The
valuation is at an approximate 30 percent discount to this higher valuation,
but still at a material premium to peers on a near-term forward-looking
revenue multiple basis. Our carrying value normalizes into 2023 due to
the company's stronger growth rate.
Financial Statements
Other
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