Solid Cash Flows: Fed Tightening
Government Policy will Continue to Drive Returns
●
Rising central bank balance sheets support the spread environment.
• The fragile global economy is vulnerable to shocks. Bouts of volatility will occur
and create opportunity to invest capital. Maintaining liquidity and flexibility will
be key to driving returns.
• The Federal Reserve has created a unique situation with the runoff of MBS from their
balance sheet, which we believe presents an accretive long-term investment
opportunity.
• While spreads may be volatile in the near term, in the long-term, we believe our
macro view supports investing in GSE guaranteed assets that will be an attractive
fixed income alternative for a broad group of investors.
• We believe the limitation of the GSEs portfolios by various regulators and potential
legislation is likely and will create future opportunities to invest capital.
• Credit risk transfer in multi-family and single family sectors
• Other future opportunities from changing GSE footprint
DYNEX
CAPITAL INC.
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