Capacity, Applications, and Outlook slide image

Capacity, Applications, and Outlook

210mm Modules to Arrive at 253.9GW in Capacity amidst Diversified Application Scenarios TRENDFORCE Large-sized modules will continue to expand in capacity during 2022. New established capacity is essentially compatible with 210mm and below sizes. Large-sized modules are expected to arrive at 442.2GW in capacity at the end of 2022 under a market share of 82.86%, of which 210mm modules would account for 253.9GW in capacity under a market share of 47.57%. 166mm and below modules will gradually diminish in capacity, and will occupy merely 17.14% of market share amid demand migration as well as businesses' elimination or upgrades of old capacity. Homogeneous product competition has become increasingly intense under diversification in application scenarios of large-sized modules. 166 modules have accelerated in the exit from the market, while the competition between 182mm and 210mm has become exceedingly ferocious. The current demand from ground power stations sits primarily at large-sized products (182 & 210mm). For the distributed PV area, businesses are expediting on the release of products compatible with large- sized modules, which are more in line with the market demand, and are more apparent in advantages pertaining to conversion efficiency and power amidst a continuous reduction in the cost per single wattage. Capacity Changes in Various Sized Modules (Unit: GW) Market Share of Modules (Unit: %) 800 100% 7.69% 90% 700 20.25% 32.59% 80% 600 47.57% 56.61% 70% 61.39% 62.86% 500 60% 365.3 408 429 400 253.9 50% 34.87% 128.8 40% 300 72.06% 20 30% 200 52.7 137.8 188.3 209.8 20% 35.28% 32.51% 32.17% 31.33% 213.8 213.8 100 187.5 128.6 91.5 0 2020 2021 10% 70.2 42.85 39.7 90 0% 2022 (F) ■166&below 182 ■210 2023(F) 2024(F) 2025(F) 2020 2021 2022 (F) ■166&below 182 ■210 32.54% 17.14% 10.88% 6.45% 5.82% 2023(F) 2024(F) 2025(F) OTrendForce All Rights Reserved
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