Baird Investment Banking Pitch Book
4
RELATIVE CONTRIBUTION ANALYSIS
USING PF AMGP COVERAGE
H
Relative contribution based on proportionate distributions received
IMPLIED AM / AMGP EXCHANGE RATIO
($ in millions)
Ownership Entity
AR-Held AM Common Units
AM Public Holders
AMGP Common Shares
Series B Units
Total
2019E
$216
193
162
12
$583
Distribution Forecasts
2020E 2021E 2022E
$266 $310 $364
237
228
17
277
Implied Exchange Ratio - AR 2.510x 2.193x
287
22
325
359
29
Terminal
Value (1)
2.034x 1.910x
$4,366
3,897
5,526
439
Present Value
1.488x
PV-10% PV-15% PV-20%
$3,836 $3,246 $2,771
3,424 2,897
4,507 3,791
356
299
$749 $897 $1,077 $14,227 $12,124 $10,233 $8,715
2,474
3,216
254
Source: Management projections.
(1) Utilizes terminal yield values defined in prior sections of this presentation. Series B terminal value equal to the AMGP terminal value.
AMGP includes only Series A cash flow.
(2)
(3)
All-in implied exchange ratio, including cash. Based on 10-day VWAP as of October 5, 2018
1.603x 1.613x 1.623x
1
% Ownership Implied
PV-10%
31.6%
28.2%
37.2%
2.9%
100.0%
1.603x
Trellminar Draft
PV-15%
31.7%
28.3%
37.0%
2.9%
100.0%
1.613x
31.8%
Equity
PV-20% vs. Exchange All-In
28.4%
36.9%
2.9%!
100.0%
1
1.623x
Proposal at
31.2%
28.7%
36.7%
3.4%
BAIRD
100.0%
1.602x
32.5%
29.9%
34.5%
3.2%
100.0%
(3)
1.775x
Project Bronco | Page 76View entire presentation