J.P.Morgan Investment Banking Pitch Book
VALUATION SUMMARY
Key operating assumptions
Kerzner Base Case
■ Atlantis, Phase III
■ Opens in 2007
■ Total capital expenditures of $730mm
■ Atlantis, Pl (incl. Phase III) performance from 2006 to 2007
(when Phase III opens)
■ Average room rate grows 6.2% to $298.76
■ Occupancy rate drops 1.8% to 80.3%
■ F&B per occupied room grows approx. 5% to $270.90
= Win/table/day grows 12.7% to $3,172
■Win/slot/day grows 14.6% to $238
■ Atlantis, the Palm, Dubai
■Opens in 2009
■ Total development/construction costs of $1.5bn
■Year 1 key assumptions
Average room rate of $313
Occupancy of 78%
5,000 daily waterpark visitors
1,863 daily entertainment village visitors
■ Morocco
■ Opens in 2008
■ Total development/construction costs of $300mm
■Year 1 key assumptions
Average room rate of $140
Occupancy of 60%
Win/table/day of $1,967
Win/slot/day of $131
JPMorgan
Kerzner Upside Case
■ Kerzner Base Case plus the following:
Condotel development cost of $400 million; 50/50 JV with
Turnberry
■ $45mm development of golf course on Athol Island completed in
2007
Development of Harborside - Phase II
Two villa expansion of Palmilla
■ Marginally more aggressive assumptions on casino revenues in
Morocco
■ Cost synergy assumption of $5mm in LBO analysis
Adjusted Upside Case (created by JPMorgan)
Kerzner Upside Case plus the following:
■ 10% upside on Atlantis, Pl over management's Upside Case
EBITDA projections in 2006
Based on analysis of Kerzner management budgets vs. actual
property results in 2003, 2004 and 2005
Over the past three years, Kerzner has outperformed its
1-year forward budget by 12.4%
Management's upside case EBITDA projections for 2006 and 2007
are below I/B/E/S consensus street estimates
Kerzner Upside Case EBITDA growth in 2007 and thereafter
Paradise Island land value
■ 64.1 acres of undeveloped land
■ Valued at $2-6mm/acre with a 5% annual appreciation
PROJECT PLATO 10View entire presentation