J.P.Morgan Investment Banking
VALUATION SUMMARY
Key assumptions
K-2 Base Case
■ Atlantis, Phase III
■ Opens in 2007
■ Total capital expenditures of $730mm
■ Atlantis, Pl (incl. Phase III) performance from 2006 to 2007
(when Phase III opens)
■ Average room rate grows 6.2% to $298.76
■ Occupancy rate drops 1.8% to 80.3%
■ F&B per occupied room grows approx. 5% to $270.90
■Win/table/day grows 12.7% to $3,172
■Win/slot/day grows 14.6% to $238
■ Atlantis, the Palm, Dubai
■Opens in 2009
■ Total development/construction costs of $1.5bn
■Year 1 key assumptions
Average room rate of $313
Occupancy of 78%
5,000 daily waterpark visitors
1,863 daily entertainment village visitors
■ Morocco
■ Opens in 2008
■ Total development/construction costs of $300mm
■Year 1 key assumptions
Average room rate of $140
Occupancy of 60%
Win/table/day of $1,967
Win/slot/day of $131
JPMorgan
K-2 Upside Case
■ K-2 Base Case plus the following:
■ Condotel development cost of $400 million; 50/50 JV with
Turnberry
■ $45mm development of golf course on Athol Island completed in
2007
Development of Harborside - Phase II
Two villa expansion of Palmilla
■ Marginally more aggressive assumptions on casino revenues in
Morocco
Adjusted Upside Case
K-2 Upside Case plus the following:
■ 10% upside on Atlantis, Pl over management's Upside Case
EBITDA projections in 2006
Based on analysis of K-2 management budgets vs. actual property
results in 2003, 2004 and 2005
Over the past three years, K-2 has outperformed its
1-year forward budget by 12.4%
K-2 Upside Case EBITDA growth in 2007 and thereafter
■ Cost synergy assumption of $5mm in LBO analysis
Franchise value
Additional upside from franchise value of Atlantis brand
■ Development of two additional resort projects over the next
10 years
Paradise Island land value
■ 64.1 acres of undeveloped land
■ Cost basis of approximately $1.4mm/acre
■ Valued at $6mm/acre with a 5% annual appreciation
PROJECT PLATO
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